NASA says there's now a 3.1% chance that asteroid 2024 YR4 will hit Earth in 2032
📡 Scientists Double Impact Probability – Should We Be Worried?
🌍 February 2025 – Astronomers are closely tracking asteroid 2024 R4, a space rock stretching up to 330 feet—roughly the size of the Statue of Liberty—that could be on a collision course with Earth by 2032.
Initially, the probability of impact was just 1%, but recent calculations have more than doubled the chances to 2.3%, sparking debates among experts.
🔬 Scientists aren’t panicking just yet but emphasize the need for continued tracking. One NASA expert compared the situation to baseball:
“It’s like being an outfielder at Fenway Park. You hear the crack of the bat, see the ball in the air, but you don’t yet know if it’s landing in left field, center field, or right field.”
This means we’re still in the early stages of determining the asteroid’s exact trajectory.
🛰️ History provides chilling examples:
🪨 A similar-sized asteroid flattened miles of forest over Siberia in 1908.
🌋 Another impact 50,000 years ago created Arizona’s Barringer Crater.
However, NASA reassures that this is NOT a planet-killer asteroid like the one that wiped out the dinosaurs. Instead, it would cause localized damage depending on where it lands.
🚀 In 2022, NASA’s DART mission successfully altered an asteroid’s path, proving that deflection is possible. If 2024 R4 becomes a real threat, similar technology could be deployed.
📅 April 2025: Telescopes get their last look at the asteroid before it disappears until 2028.
📡 2032: Potential impact window.
For now, astronomers are racing against the clock to track its every move before it gets too close for comfort.
🔭 Should we be worried? Scientists say not yet—but they’ll definitely be watching.
💬 What do you think? Would you trust NASA to stop an asteroid? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀🌍
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